Nocerina vs Pescara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
46.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
PAD
2 - 2
NOC
69%
20%
11%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
NOC
0 - 2
CRO
36%
27%
37%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
ABN
2 - 2
NOC
64%
21%
15%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
NOC
2 - 4
VAR
35%
28%
37%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
NOC
2 - 2
VIC
43%
27%
30%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Pescara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2011 |
PES
1 - 0
SAM
29%
29%
42%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
TOR
4 - 2
PES
56%
25%
19%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
PES
1 - 2
GRO
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
VIC
1 - 1
PES
31%
27%
42%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
PES
2 - 1
ASG
68%
20%
12%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |