Nocerina vs Pescara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.9%
30%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30%
33.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1978 |
BAR
0 - 0
NOC
68%
19%
13%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
NOC
1 - 0
PIS
33%
25%
42%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 1978 |
BRE
2 - 1
NOC
72%
17%
11%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
NOC
2 - 0
VAR
30%
23%
47%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
JUV
3 - 1
NOC
97%
3%
1%
|
48 | 88 | 40 | 0 |
Matches
Pescara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1978 |
TAR
0 - 1
PES
42%
32%
26%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
PES
2 - 0
VAR
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 1978 |
PAL
1 - 1
PES
51%
30%
20%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
PES
2 - 0
RIM
63%
23%
14%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
SSS
0 - 2
PES
43%
30%
27%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |