Nocerina vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.3%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
17.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
LEC
3 - 0
NOC
82%
13%
5%
|
48 | 71 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
NOC
0 - 3
SAL
29%
25%
46%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
ASG
3 - 0
NOC
60%
23%
18%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
NOC
0 - 3
PON
51%
23%
26%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -2 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
NOC
0 - 3
ACP
48%
26%
27%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
PAG
0 - 2
GRO
17%
25%
58%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
PRG
2 - 1
PAG
77%
16%
7%
|
45 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
PAG
0 - 1
LAQ
31%
28%
41%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
SSB
3 - 2
PAG
57%
24%
19%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
PAG
0 - 1
PIS
17%
25%
58%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | 0 |