Nocerina vs Modica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.7%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
11.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2002 |
CAS
3 - 0
NOC
54%
27%
20%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
NOC
1 - 0
SAS
26%
25%
49%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
TAR
3 - 1
NOC
64%
24%
13%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
NOC
1 - 3
ASC
24%
29%
47%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
LAQ
2 - 0
NOC
58%
23%
19%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -2 |