Nocerina vs Gelbison analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
30.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+103%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
SOR
2 - 2
NOC
60%
22%
18%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
NOC
0 - 2
USB
31%
24%
45%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -2 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
NAR
0 - 1
NOC
38%
26%
36%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
NOC
0 - 2
USF
7%
19%
74%
|
33 | 68 | 35 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
BRI
1 - 0
NOC
73%
17%
11%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
GEL
0 - 0
AGR
58%
22%
20%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
ASF
0 - 1
GEL
66%
18%
16%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
GEL
0 - 0
GLA
39%
25%
36%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
FRA
0 - 2
GEL
64%
20%
17%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +2 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
ASD
0 - 0
GEL
54%
22%
24%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |