Nocerina vs Gelbison analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.1%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
13.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+137%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
FRA
0 - 3
NOC
32%
25%
43%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
NOC
2 - 2
NAR
58%
23%
19%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
RPO
2 - 1
NOC
25%
24%
51%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
NOC
2 - 1
CSV
78%
14%
8%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
SSE
0 - 1
NOC
19%
23%
58%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
GEL
0 - 1
PIC
59%
21%
20%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
CSV
2 - 1
GEL
27%
24%
49%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
GEL
1 - 1
BIS
32%
27%
41%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
MDC
1 - 0
GEL
17%
21%
62%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
GEL
1 - 0
POL
78%
14%
8%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |