Nocerina vs Gelbison analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
15.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+153%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
ISC
2 - 1
NOC
41%
27%
31%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
NOC
2 - 1
FRA
50%
25%
24%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
NOC
2 - 0
SAN
73%
18%
10%
|
42 | 22 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
MAT
1 - 0
NOC
54%
25%
22%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
NOC
3 - 2
ASF
55%
23%
21%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
GEL
0 - 0
ASP
25%
23%
52%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
USV
2 - 0
GEL
22%
24%
54%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | -2 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
FCT
1 - 0
GEL
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
GEL
0 - 0
BRI
17%
23%
60%
|
31 | 56 | 25 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
GEL
1 - 1
BAC
59%
21%
20%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |