Nocerina vs Gela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
14.2%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
FOL
0 - 1
NOC
59%
24%
17%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 2
NOC
33%
26%
41%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
NOC
3 - 1
USF
21%
26%
53%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
JUS
2 - 2
NOC
52%
26%
23%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2010 |
ASL
0 - 0
NOC
60%
23%
17%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Gela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
GEL
0 - 1
SSB
45%
27%
28%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
TER
2 - 0
GEL
67%
21%
12%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
GEL
1 - 2
ATL
19%
25%
56%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
SIR
2 - 0
GEL
48%
26%
26%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -2 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
GEL
1 - 3
NUO
24%
26%
50%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |