Nocerina vs Foligno Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
26.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
USF
0 - 1
NOC
64%
22%
15%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
NOC
1 - 2
JUS
44%
28%
28%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
NOC
2 - 1
ASL
50%
26%
24%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
TAR
2 - 1
NOC
46%
29%
26%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
NOC
1 - 0
TER
55%
25%
20%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Foligno Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
FOL
1 - 0
ASL
42%
28%
31%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
SSB
3 - 2
FOL
31%
26%
43%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
FOL
0 - 0
TAR
36%
30%
34%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
PIS
1 - 0
FOL
52%
25%
23%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
FOL
0 - 0
NUO
43%
26%
31%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |