Nocerina vs Afragolese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.1%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
14.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
MUR
1 - 0
NOC
38%
25%
37%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
NOC
2 - 0
ARZ
50%
24%
26%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2021 |
NOC
1 - 1
ULD
44%
25%
32%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
NOC
3 - 1
SSC
46%
24%
30%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
NOC
2 - 1
CAR
43%
23%
34%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Afragolese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
AFR
0 - 2
CAR
29%
21%
50%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
AFR
1 - 5
VIS
32%
22%
46%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
LAT
3 - 0
AFR
73%
18%
10%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
HYR
0 - 2
AFR
42%
22%
36%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
AFR
2 - 4
MUR
36%
23%
41%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -1 |