Nocerina vs FC Celano Marsica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
22.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
GEL
2 - 1
NOC
64%
22%
14%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2007 |
NOC
0 - 0
POT
34%
27%
39%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
COS
1 - 0
NOC
66%
21%
13%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
NOC
1 - 1
SSC
42%
26%
31%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
FCC
2 - 1
NOC
66%
22%
13%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
FC Celano Marsica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
FCC
1 - 1
ASA
28%
27%
46%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
VAL
1 - 1
FCC
65%
20%
15%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
REA
3 - 1
FCC
64%
21%
15%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
FCC
0 - 0
GEL
17%
23%
60%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
POT
2 - 0
FCC
64%
21%
14%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -1 |