Nocerina vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.6%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
14.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
BEN
1 - 0
NOC
53%
26%
21%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2013 |
NOC
1 - 3
FRO
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
PIS
5 - 2
NOC
47%
27%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
NOC
1 - 1
GRO
57%
23%
20%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
FCV
1 - 1
NOC
29%
28%
43%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
FCC
0 - 0
PIS
24%
26%
50%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
LEC
1 - 2
FCC
82%
13%
5%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
FCC
1 - 0
FRO
30%
27%
44%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
ACP
0 - 0
FCC
47%
27%
26%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
FCC
1 - 1
FCV
42%
27%
31%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |