Nocerina vs Boreale Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.9%
Win probability
3.19
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.2%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.3%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.8%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.5%
4.5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
2º
10º
2º
29
13º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
58 | 58 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 53 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
89% | |
|
9º
|
46 | 46 |
9º
|
89% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 39 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
13º
|
89% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
71.5% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 34 |
15º
|
71.5% | |
|
16º
|
34 | 34 |
16º
|
71.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
29 | 29 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
26 | 26 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
CSO
3 - 2
NOC
42%
25%
33%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
NOC
1 - 0
BUD
85%
11%
5%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
FLA
1 - 1
NOC
40%
27%
33%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
NOC
2 - 2
88%
8%
4%
|
43 | 15 | 28 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
OST
0 - 1
NOC
42%
28%
30%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Boreale Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
BOR
1 - 0
ISC
8%
14%
79%
|
11 | 38 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
TRA
4 - 0
BOR
89%
8%
3%
|
11 | 43 | 32 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
BOR
0 - 1
ULD
11%
18%
71%
|
12 | 35 | 23 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
AUR
1 - 1
BOR
84%
11%
5%
|
11 | 29 | 18 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
BOR
0 - 0
RFC
55%
20%
24%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |