Nocerina vs Benevento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
52.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
FRO
3 - 0
NOC
66%
21%
13%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
NOC
0 - 2
PIS
35%
27%
38%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
GRO
2 - 1
NOC
65%
21%
15%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
NOC
1 - 0
FCV
53%
24%
23%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
PRG
2 - 1
NOC
64%
22%
15%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
BEN
3 - 0
PON
72%
19%
9%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
LEC
2 - 0
BEN
54%
24%
23%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
BEN
3 - 2
GRO
52%
26%
22%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
PAG
1 - 1
BEN
10%
21%
70%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
BEN
3 - 0
ACP
63%
23%
14%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |