Nocerina vs Molfetta Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.7%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
26%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 1
NOC
59%
23%
18%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2022 |
BRI
1 - 0
NOC
30%
27%
43%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
NOC
2 - 0
ASD
77%
14%
9%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
NAR
0 - 2
NOC
35%
26%
39%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
NOC
3 - 0
SOR
48%
24%
28%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Molfetta Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
MOL
1 - 0
ROT
50%
23%
27%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
SOR
1 - 0
MOL
44%
23%
33%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
MOL
1 - 1
FCF
31%
26%
44%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
BRI
1 - 0
MOL
22%
21%
56%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
MOL
1 - 0
MAR
60%
20%
20%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |