Nocerina vs Melfi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
33.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
FCI
1 - 0
NOC
57%
24%
20%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
NOC
3 - 2
USV
39%
27%
34%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
PRO
0 - 0
NOC
51%
26%
23%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
NOC
0 - 1
SOR
22%
26%
52%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
NOC
2 - 0
FCC
53%
25%
22%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
ASM
2 - 1
BEN
29%
28%
43%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
ASM
1 - 1
ASA
34%
27%
38%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
GEL
1 - 0
ASM
57%
24%
19%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
ASM
2 - 1
MON
25%
25%
50%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +2 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
ASM
0 - 1
POT
41%
26%
33%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |