Nocerina vs Anzio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.8%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.1%
6.1%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+99%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
2º
10º
2º
35
6º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
58 | 58 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 53 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
89% | |
|
9º
|
46 | 46 |
9º
|
89% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 39 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
13º
|
89% | |
|
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
71.5% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 34 |
15º
|
71.5% | |
|
16º
|
34 | 34 |
16º
|
71.5% | |
|
17º
|
29 | 29 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
26 | 26 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
CAV
2 - 1
NOC
72%
19%
9%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
NOC
1 - 1
BOR
86%
10%
5%
|
42 | 16 | 26 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
CSO
3 - 2
NOC
42%
25%
33%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
NOC
1 - 0
BUD
85%
11%
5%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
FLA
1 - 1
NOC
40%
27%
33%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Anzio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
ANZ
1 - 1
ISC
17%
19%
65%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
TRA
4 - 0
ANZ
85%
10%
5%
|
23 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
ANZ
2 - 3
ULD
25%
24%
51%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
AUR
2 - 5
ANZ
64%
18%
17%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | +2 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ANZ
1 - 0
SSC
14%
20%
67%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | +2 |