Nocerina vs FC Sporting Genzano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.4%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
9.7%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2009 |
NOC
2 - 0
ASP
34%
26%
40%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
BRI
1 - 0
NOC
77%
16%
7%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
BAC
1 - 0
NOC
28%
27%
46%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
NOC
1 - 0
GEL
64%
21%
15%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
ISC
2 - 1
NOC
41%
27%
31%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
FC Sporting Genzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
ASP
2 - 0
FSG
80%
13%
7%
|
22 | 44 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
FSG
1 - 0
USV
52%
24%
25%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
GEL
2 - 2
FSG
69%
18%
13%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
FSG
0 - 3
BRI
12%
22%
66%
|
21 | 55 | 34 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
FRA
2 - 0
FSG
74%
17%
9%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | 0 |