Vinodol vs Pomorac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
64.4%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.9%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
1º
4º
4º
35
4º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 50 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 44 |
2º
|
95.5% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 44 |
3º
|
92% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 44 |
4º
|
92.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
35 | 40 |
5º
|
97.5% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 39 |
6º
|
89.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 38 |
7º
|
80.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 36 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 35 |
9º
|
29% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 34 |
10º
|
51% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 32 |
11º
|
96.5% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 1 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vinodol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
NNH
3 - 0
VNV
34%
23%
43%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
VNV
2 - 0
NKC
59%
20%
21%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
VNV
0 - 0
NEH
46%
23%
31%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
NKR
2 - 1
VNV
42%
23%
35%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
VNV
3 - 1
PAZ
53%
21%
26%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Pomorac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
POM
1 - 0
KRK
71%
18%
11%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
POM
1 - 1
NNH
81%
13%
6%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
NKC
0 - 2
POM
13%
18%
69%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
POM
1 - 0
NKB
80%
14%
6%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
NEH
3 - 2
POM
12%
18%
70%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | -2 |