NK Varazdin vs Split analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
32.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Varazdin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2011 |
ZAG
1 - 0
NKV
48%
26%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
NKV
2 - 2
IST
63%
22%
15%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
RIJ
2 - 0
NKV
57%
24%
20%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
NKV
1 - 2
ZAD
57%
23%
20%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2011 |
NKV
1 - 2
DBU
31%
24%
45%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
SPL
1 - 1
HKS
34%
27%
39%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
LUK
1 - 2
SPL
30%
29%
42%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
SPL
2 - 2
OSI
50%
26%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
KAR
1 - 3
SPL
37%
29%
34%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2011 |
FUL
2 - 0
SPL
73%
18%
10%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |