NK Varazdin vs Split analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
20.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Varazdin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2010 |
RIJ
2 - 4
NKV
60%
21%
19%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
ZAD
3 - 0
NKV
36%
28%
37%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
INT
2 - 0
NKV
39%
27%
34%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2010 |
NKV
2 - 1
RIJ
46%
24%
30%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
NKV
2 - 2
HNS
48%
26%
27%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
SPL
2 - 3
RIJ
43%
26%
31%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
SPL
0 - 1
DZG
25%
24%
51%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
HDR
0 - 4
SPL
29%
27%
44%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
ZAD
1 - 0
SPL
38%
27%
35%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
SPL
1 - 1
INT
54%
24%
22%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |