NK Varazdin vs HNK Gorica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
43.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
3º
8º
6º
32
7º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Varazdin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
RIJ
1 - 2
NKV
72%
18%
10%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
NKV
2 - 2
HNS
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
OSI
2 - 2
NKV
63%
24%
13%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
NKV
1 - 1
DZG
18%
23%
59%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
NKV
0 - 2
HKS
16%
22%
62%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
HNK Gorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
HNG
0 - 2
IST
67%
20%
12%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
SLA
2 - 1
HNG
26%
26%
48%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
HNG
3 - 2
LOK
45%
25%
30%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
RIJ
1 - 1
HNG
62%
21%
18%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
HNG
0 - 0
HNS
71%
19%
10%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |