NK Varazdin vs HNK Hajduk Split analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
44.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
4º
6º
4º
63
1º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
63 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Varazdin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
RIJ
1 - 1
NKV
66%
20%
13%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
NKV
2 - 1
HNG
50%
25%
24%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
NKV
0 - 1
DZG
27%
25%
48%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
OSI
2 - 1
NKV
59%
24%
17%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
NKV
1 - 0
IST
52%
25%
24%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
HNK Hajduk Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
MZL
0 - 3
HKS
17%
23%
61%
|
85 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
HKS
2 - 1
LOK
56%
23%
21%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
SLA
0 - 2
HKS
20%
26%
54%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
HKS
4 - 0
HNS
69%
19%
12%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
RIJ
0 - 0
HKS
48%
25%
27%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | -1 |