NK Varazdin vs HNK Hajduk Split analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
62.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
3º
8º
6º
71
1º
2º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Varazdin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
SHA
1 - 2
NKV
58%
22%
20%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2022 |
IST
1 - 2
NKV
40%
27%
33%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
NKV
0 - 1
SLA
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
BUD
0 - 1
NKV
50%
24%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2022 |
NKV
1 - 1
POS
57%
20%
23%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
HNK Hajduk Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
IST
0 - 2
HKS
13%
20%
67%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
DZG
0 - 0
HKS
43%
24%
33%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
VAR
1 - 1
HKS
18%
23%
59%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2022 |
HKS
0 - 3
GEN
56%
23%
21%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2022 |
HKS
2 - 2
HSV
60%
20%
19%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |