Varteks vs Radnik Križevci analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.4%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
64.9%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+58%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
3º
9º
3º
64
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
64 | 67 |
1º
|
75.5% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 66 |
2º
|
75.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
24.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
24.5% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 75.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 24.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varteks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
NKV
4 - 0
PAP
46%
23%
31%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
NKV
2 - 0
VIR
61%
20%
18%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
POD
1 - 1
NKV
44%
23%
33%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
NKV
0 - 3
NKP
9%
16%
75%
|
25 | 47 | 22 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
POD
1 - 3
NKV
29%
23%
48%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Radnik Križevci
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
NKK
2 - 1
POD
88%
8%
4%
|
39 | 17 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
PAP
1 - 1
NKK
11%
16%
73%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
NKK
6 - 0
NDD
57%
20%
24%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
VIR
2 - 4
NKK
12%
17%
71%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
NKK
3 - 1
NKS
83%
11%
6%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |