Urania vs Neretva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
61.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Urania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
UBV
1 - 2
JUN
18%
22%
61%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
KAM
2 - 0
UBV
55%
23%
22%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
UBV
0 - 1
HNK
18%
20%
63%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
UBV
1 - 1
USK
22%
21%
57%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
JAD
3 - 0
UBV
80%
13%
7%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Neretva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2022 |
NER
1 - 0
HRV
55%
22%
23%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
NER
0 - 1
ZAG
65%
19%
16%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
JUN
1 - 0
NER
41%
26%
33%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
ZRI
2 - 0
NER
90%
8%
2%
|
41 | 78 | 37 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
KAM
2 - 3
NER
22%
24%
54%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | +1 |