Urania vs HNK Zadar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
64.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
5º
16º
16º
60
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
25 | 25 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Urania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
NKG
2 - 0
UBV
50%
22%
28%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
UBV
0 - 2
ZAG
28%
24%
48%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
VOD
2 - 1
UBV
50%
22%
29%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
GOS
3 - 1
UBV
33%
26%
41%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
UBV
4 - 1
PRB
39%
24%
37%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
HNK Zadar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
HNK
1 - 0
USK
70%
18%
12%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
SMR
1 - 3
HNK
21%
25%
54%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
HNK
3 - 0
KAM
78%
14%
7%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
NER
0 - 1
HNK
25%
25%
50%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
HNK
3 - 2
MAK
79%
15%
7%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |