Sava Strmec vs Kurilovec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
53.5%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
8º
18º
8º
40
2º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
87 | 87 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 53 |
5º
|
58.5% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 52 |
6º
|
58.5% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
60% | |
|
|
9º
|
44 | 47 |
8º
|
45.5% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
9º
|
66% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
40 | 41 |
11º
|
8.5% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 41 |
12º
|
29% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 41 |
13º
|
31% | |
|
14º
|
38 | 38 |
14º
|
67.5% | |
|
15º
|
37 | 37 |
15º
|
67.5% | |
|
16º
|
36 | 37 |
16º
|
67.5% | |
|
17º
|
36 | 36 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
24 | 24 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sava Strmec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
STR
2 - 2
LKV
35%
22%
43%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
STR
0 - 0
HAS
30%
22%
47%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
TRE
3 - 0
STR
79%
13%
9%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
STR
4 - 1
NGM
10%
15%
74%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | +4 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
PON
3 - 0
STR
73%
17%
10%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Kurilovec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
DOO
0 - 1
NUK
49%
21%
30%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
NUK
0 - 0
LKV
59%
20%
21%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
HAS
0 - 0
NUK
44%
23%
33%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
NMP
4 - 1
NUK
35%
24%
41%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -2 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
NUK
2 - 3
TRE
50%
22%
28%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |