Sava Strmec vs NK Trešnjevka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.8%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.9%
20.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+45%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
8º
18º
8º
46
6º
13º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
87 | 87 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 53 |
5º
|
58.5% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 52 |
6º
|
58.5% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
60% | |
|
|
9º
|
44 | 47 |
8º
|
45.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
9º
|
66% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 41 |
11º
|
8.5% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 41 |
12º
|
29% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 41 |
13º
|
31% | |
|
14º
|
38 | 38 |
14º
|
67.5% | |
|
15º
|
37 | 37 |
15º
|
67.5% | |
|
16º
|
36 | 37 |
16º
|
67.5% | |
|
17º
|
36 | 36 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
24 | 24 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sava Strmec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
NGM
1 - 2
STR
43%
22%
35%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
STR
3 - 2
PON
37%
22%
41%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +3 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
SAM
1 - 3
STR
63%
19%
18%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
STR
2 - 1
MAK
23%
20%
56%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +2 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
NTR
0 - 1
STR
43%
23%
34%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
NK Trešnjevka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
TRE
2 - 1
NUK
49%
23%
28%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2023 |
TRE
1 - 1
SAM
34%
22%
44%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
LKV
3 - 2
TRE
36%
23%
41%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
TRE
0 - 4
HAS
58%
20%
22%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
NMP
3 - 3
TRE
56%
21%
24%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |