Rovinj vs NK Naprijed Hreljin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.1%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
18.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+70%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
1º
8º
2º
29
4º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 56 |
1º
|
76% | |
|
|
2º
|
53 | 53 |
2º
|
76% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 42 |
5º
|
52.5% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
52.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
29 | 32 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
38% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 32 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 31 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 28 |
12º
|
73% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
24% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
76% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rovinj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
NKC
1 - 2
ROV
26%
23%
51%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
ROV
1 - 0
PAZ
55%
22%
24%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
ROV
2 - 1
ULJ
21%
24%
55%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | +3 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
NKC
0 - 1
ROV
50%
21%
29%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +2 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
ROV
1 - 1
NEH
34%
24%
42%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
NK Naprijed Hreljin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
NNH
2 - 3
VNV
31%
24%
46%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
NHV
1 - 0
NNH
58%
20%
22%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
NKM
2 - 4
NNH
36%
23%
41%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
NNH
1 - 1
NKR
35%
23%
42%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
NKK
1 - 0
NNH
58%
21%
21%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |