Primorje vs Maribor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
31%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
2º
9º
9º
0
4º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
3 | 62 |
1º
|
36.5% | |
|
4º
|
3 | 59 |
2º
|
22% | |
|
5º
|
3 | 53 |
3º
|
12% | |
|
|
7º
|
0 | 51 |
4º
|
11% | |
|
2º
|
3 | 51 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 48 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
0 | 45 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
0 | 45 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
|
1º
|
3 | 45 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
0 | 39 |
10º
|
28% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
3% | 6.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
13% | 26.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
57.5% | 52% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
15% | 10% |
|
Relegation
|
11.5% | 5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Primorje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
NKP
3 - 2
DOM
44%
25%
32%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
NKP
1 - 1
DZG
22%
22%
57%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
IST
3 - 1
NKP
60%
22%
17%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
RIJ
2 - 1
NKP
70%
19%
12%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2025 |
NKP
0 - 4
PET
41%
26%
34%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Maribor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2025 |
PAK
1 - 0
MAR
58%
21%
21%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
MAR
1 - 2
CEL
46%
25%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
MAR
1 - 1
CSK
58%
21%
21%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
MAR
8 - 0
BIS
63%
19%
18%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
MAR
2 - 1
ALU
50%
22%
28%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |