Primorje vs Domžale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
31.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
2º
9º
9º
0
6º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
3 | 62 |
1º
|
36.5% | |
|
4º
|
3 | 59 |
2º
|
22% | |
|
5º
|
3 | 53 |
3º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
0 | 51 |
4º
|
11% | |
|
2º
|
3 | 51 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 48 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
|
6º
|
0 | 45 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
0 | 45 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
|
1º
|
3 | 45 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
0 | 39 |
10º
|
28% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
3% | 2.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
13% | 12.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
57.5% | 55.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
15% | 10.5% |
|
Relegation
|
11.5% | 19% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Primorje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
NKP
1 - 1
DZG
22%
22%
57%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
IST
3 - 1
NKP
60%
22%
17%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
RIJ
2 - 1
NKP
70%
19%
12%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2025 |
NKP
0 - 4
PET
41%
26%
34%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2025 |
NKP
1 - 2
SCM
43%
26%
31%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Domžale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2025 |
DOM
0 - 0
VUK
53%
23%
24%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
DOM
2 - 3
ČUK
30%
24%
46%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
BRI
2 - 4
DOM
33%
24%
43%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
DOM
1 - 3
BBL
43%
25%
32%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
TRI
1 - 4
DOM
50%
22%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |