Primorje vs Celje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
35.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
6º
10º
6º
61
2º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
61 | 61 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Primorje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
DOM
1 - 1
NKP
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
NKP
2 - 2
NKN
54%
24%
22%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
FCK
1 - 1
NKP
58%
24%
19%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2025 |
NKP
3 - 0
BRA
40%
27%
33%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +2 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
NKP
0 - 2
OLI
37%
27%
36%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Celje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2025 |
FCK
1 - 1
CEL
43%
26%
31%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
CEL
3 - 3
OLI
52%
24%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2025 |
CEL
2 - 1
OLI
54%
22%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2025 |
RAD
1 - 3
CEL
40%
26%
34%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2025 |
FIO
2 - 2
CEL
86%
10%
4%
|
76 | 96 | 20 | -1 |