Primorje vs Aluminij analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
51.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
6º
15º
7º
64
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Primorje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
ROG
1 - 1
NKP
64%
21%
15%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
NKP
3 - 1
TOL
42%
24%
34%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
NKP
0 - 1
ILI
33%
26%
41%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
KRS
2 - 2
NKP
36%
25%
39%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
NKP
2 - 2
KRK
22%
25%
53%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Aluminij
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
ALU
4 - 0
BIL
63%
21%
15%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
ALU
11 - 0
SDB
87%
10%
3%
|
60 | 14 | 46 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
NKD
3 - 2
ALU
28%
24%
49%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
ALU
4 - 1
DEK
69%
20%
11%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
BEL
2 - 2
ALU
20%
23%
57%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |