NK Polet vs Virovitica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
91.7%
Win probability
3.63
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.5%
7-0
2.7%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.3%
6-0
5.2%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
6.6%
5-0
8.6%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
11.4%
4-0
11.8%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
16.6%
3-0
13%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
6.1%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
2.9%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
6.1%
2.1%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.7%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-49%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
63
1º
6º
2º
22
1º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 67 |
1º
|
75.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
63 | 66 |
2º
|
75.5% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
24.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
24.5% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
24.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
75.5% | 24.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 75.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Polet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
NKP
0 - 1
NKS
91%
6%
2%
|
47 | 19 | 28 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
RMS
0 - 2
NKP
14%
22%
64%
|
47 | 27 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
NKP
2 - 0
NKV
84%
11%
5%
|
47 | 27 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
PAP
2 - 4
NKP
7%
15%
78%
|
46 | 21 | 25 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
NKP
4 - 3
TEH
75%
15%
10%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Virovitica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
VIR
1 - 2
NKV
20%
21%
58%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
PAP
1 - 0
VIR
59%
20%
21%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
NKK
2 - 0
VIR
88%
9%
4%
|
19 | 41 | 22 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
VIR
1 - 2
POD
26%
21%
53%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
NKP
2 - 1
VIR
91%
7%
3%
|
19 | 46 | 27 | 0 |