NK Polet vs NK Papuk Orahovica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
89.5%
Win probability
3.47
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.7%
6-0
4.3%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.6%
5-0
7.4%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.2%
4-0
10.7%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.6%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
7.4%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
7.4%
3%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
63
1º
6º
2º
32
2º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 67 |
1º
|
75.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
63 | 66 |
2º
|
75.5% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
24.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
24.5% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
24.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
75.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Polet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
NKK
3 - 2
NKP
39%
25%
36%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
NKP
1 - 0
VIR
92%
6%
2%
|
47 | 18 | 29 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
NKP
0 - 1
NKS
91%
6%
2%
|
47 | 19 | 28 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
RMS
0 - 2
NKP
14%
22%
64%
|
47 | 27 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
NKP
2 - 0
NKV
84%
11%
5%
|
47 | 27 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
NK Papuk Orahovica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
PAP
2 - 1
POD
32%
22%
46%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
NKK
2 - 1
PAP
89%
8%
3%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
NKK
4 - 1
PAP
89%
8%
3%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
PAP
1 - 0
VIR
59%
20%
21%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
POD
2 - 3
PAP
71%
16%
13%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +1 |