NK Otok vs NAŠK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.2%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
15.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Otok
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
BEL
0 - 0
OTO
47%
25%
28%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2011 |
OTO
1 - 3
NKL
60%
20%
20%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
GRA
7 - 0
OTO
62%
20%
18%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -2 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
OTO
2 - 2
NMC
41%
25%
34%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
VIS
2 - 1
OTO
37%
25%
38%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
NAŠK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
NKL
1 - 0
NAS
57%
21%
22%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2011 |
NAS
2 - 2
NMC
17%
24%
59%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
MLA
4 - 3
NAS
50%
23%
27%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
NAS
2 - 3
NKS
42%
25%
34%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
NOO
4 - 1
NAS
54%
22%
24%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -2 |