NK Omiš vs Kaštel Gomilica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
37.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
1º
10º
8º
46
2º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
62.5% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
47% | |
|
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
8º
|
45.5% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
74.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
54.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
42% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
12º
|
55.5% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 32 |
13º
|
68.5% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
82.5% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 28 |
15º
|
95% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Omiš
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
SMR
0 - 0
OMI
58%
20%
22%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
OMI
2 - 0
NER
34%
22%
44%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | +2 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
KAM
1 - 0
OMI
53%
21%
27%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
OMI
2 - 1
USK
38%
23%
40%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +2 |
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
OMI
0 - 0
OTO
36%
25%
40%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Kaštel Gomilica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
NKG
0 - 1
HNK
30%
25%
45%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
NKH
3 - 3
NKG
50%
24%
26%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
NKG
4 - 0
GOS
54%
22%
24%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
MAK
2 - 2
NKG
35%
23%
43%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
NKG
1 - 2
NER
41%
22%
37%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |