Nafta Lendava vs Primorje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
24.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
6º
10º
10º
43
6º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
61 | 61 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nafta Lendava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
OLI
2 - 0
NKN
71%
19%
11%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
NKN
2 - 1
RAD
30%
26%
44%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
NSM
1 - 0
NKN
68%
20%
13%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
NKN
3 - 3
ZTE
20%
21%
59%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
ZAL
1 - 0
NKN
67%
20%
13%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Primorje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
NKP
0 - 2
FCK
23%
26%
51%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2024 |
BRA
4 - 0
NKP
63%
23%
13%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
OLI
2 - 0
NKP
72%
19%
10%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
NKP
2 - 2
TOL
70%
17%
13%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
NKP
1 - 2
BUD
66%
19%
16%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |