NK Medulin vs NK Naprijed Hreljin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.4%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
56.5%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
12º
14º
13º
31
3º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 50 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 44 |
2º
|
95.5% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 44 |
3º
|
92% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 44 |
4º
|
92.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 40 |
5º
|
97.5% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 39 |
6º
|
89.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 38 |
7º
|
80.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
31 | 36 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 35 |
9º
|
29% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 34 |
10º
|
51% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 32 |
11º
|
96.5% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
11 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 1 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Medulin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
NKC
1 - 0
NKM
70%
17%
14%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
NKM
0 - 2
NKB
29%
23%
49%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -2 |
| 11 Apr. 2023 |
NKM
0 - 4
ULJ
17%
20%
64%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
NKM
0 - 2
NKR
30%
23%
48%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
NKM
2 - 3
PAZ
39%
23%
38%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
NK Naprijed Hreljin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
NNH
3 - 0
VNV
34%
23%
43%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
KRK
4 - 1
NNH
68%
17%
15%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -2 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
POM
1 - 1
NNH
81%
13%
6%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
NKC
1 - 0
NNH
62%
19%
19%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
NNH
1 - 1
NKC
48%
23%
29%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |