Lukavec vs Vrapče analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.6%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
56%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
5º
17º
12º
62
1º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
87 | 87 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
62 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 53 |
5º
|
58.5% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 52 |
6º
|
58.5% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
60% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 47 |
8º
|
45.5% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
9º
|
66% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 41 |
11º
|
8.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
40 | 41 |
12º
|
29% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 41 |
13º
|
31% | |
|
14º
|
38 | 38 |
14º
|
67.5% | |
|
15º
|
37 | 37 |
15º
|
67.5% | |
|
16º
|
36 | 37 |
16º
|
67.5% | |
|
17º
|
36 | 36 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
24 | 24 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lukavec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
LKV
0 - 1
STR
85%
11%
5%
|
26 | 13 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
LKV
0 - 0
NUK
29%
22%
50%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
LKV
2 - 1
DOO
32%
22%
46%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
HAS
3 - 0
LKV
63%
19%
19%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
LKV
0 - 3
TRN
14%
19%
68%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | -2 |
Matches
Vrapče
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
VRA
3 - 0
HAS
62%
20%
18%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
NMP
1 - 3
VRA
28%
24%
49%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
VRA
2 - 1
TRE
65%
18%
17%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
VRA
2 - 2
MAK
35%
24%
42%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
NMP
0 - 7
VRA
41%
24%
35%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +2 |