Lukavec vs Kurilovec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
49.6%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
6%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
5º
17º
12º
40
2º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
87 | 87 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 53 |
5º
|
58.5% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 52 |
6º
|
58.5% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
60% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 47 |
8º
|
45.5% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
9º
|
66% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
40 | 41 |
11º
|
8.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
40 | 41 |
12º
|
29% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 41 |
13º
|
31% | |
|
14º
|
38 | 38 |
14º
|
67.5% | |
|
15º
|
37 | 37 |
15º
|
67.5% | |
|
16º
|
36 | 37 |
16º
|
67.5% | |
|
17º
|
36 | 36 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
24 | 24 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lukavec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
LKV
2 - 1
DOO
32%
22%
46%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
HAS
3 - 0
LKV
63%
19%
19%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
LKV
0 - 3
TRN
14%
19%
68%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | -2 |
| 18 May. 2022 |
BIS
2 - 2
LKV
64%
19%
17%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
LKV
1 - 1
VRA
45%
23%
33%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Kurilovec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
NUK
1 - 0
HAS
50%
23%
27%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
NUK
3 - 1
VRB
33%
24%
43%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +2 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
TRE
4 - 0
NUK
37%
22%
42%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -2 |
| 18 May. 2022 |
NUK
1 - 1
DUG
22%
23%
55%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
PON
1 - 0
NUK
27%
24%
49%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -1 |