Krk vs Novigrad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
38.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Krk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
NKG
1 - 0
KRK
67%
18%
15%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
KRK
0 - 1
NHV
68%
18%
14%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
NKC
1 - 0
KRK
37%
26%
37%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
KRK
2 - 1
ROV
55%
23%
22%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
JAP
2 - 1
KRK
36%
25%
39%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Novigrad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
NOV
4 - 0
NEH
72%
17%
11%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
NKG
0 - 5
NOV
65%
18%
17%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +2 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
NOV
4 - 2
NHV
73%
16%
10%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2013 |
NOV
0 - 2
INT
12%
19%
69%
|
30 | 63 | 33 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
NKC
1 - 1
NOV
39%
25%
37%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -1 |