NK Jarun vs Zrinski Osječko analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.4%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
14.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-64%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
2º
10º
10º
9
7º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
9 | 9 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Jarun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2025 |
NKD
2 - 1
NKJ
35%
28%
37%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
ZMI
0 - 1
NKJ
43%
26%
30%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
NKJ
0 - 5
BIJ
48%
25%
27%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
RUD
0 - 2
NKJ
59%
23%
18%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2025 |
NKJ
0 - 0
VUK
22%
26%
52%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Zrinski Osječko
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2025 |
ZRI
0 - 3
BIJ
25%
27%
49%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
RUD
3 - 0
ZRI
63%
21%
16%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2025 |
ZRI
0 - 6
VUK
13%
25%
62%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
OPA
3 - 0
ZRI
69%
20%
10%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
ZRI
0 - 1
NKR
22%
27%
52%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |