NK Jarun vs Zagorec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.7%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
31.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Jarun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
PON
2 - 0
NKJ
23%
21%
56%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
NKJ
2 - 0
ZAG
82%
12%
7%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
MAK
3 - 1
NKJ
30%
21%
48%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | -2 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
NKJ
3 - 0
ORI
67%
18%
16%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2018 |
KRK
3 - 0
NKJ
38%
25%
37%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Zagorec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
ZAG
0 - 0
TRN
40%
25%
35%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
DUG
1 - 3
ZAG
52%
22%
26%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
ZAG
2 - 3
SPA
64%
19%
17%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
NUK
0 - 1
ZAG
33%
24%
43%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2018 |
ZAG
0 - 2
JAP
64%
20%
17%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |