NK Jarun vs Vukovar '91 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26%
52.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
2º
10º
10º
72
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 9 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Jarun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2025 |
OPA
2 - 1
NKJ
66%
22%
12%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2025 |
NKJ
0 - 2
NKR
37%
26%
37%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
DUB
0 - 1
NKJ
49%
26%
26%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2025 |
NKR
0 - 1
NKJ
72%
18%
11%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
NKJ
1 - 2
ORI
39%
25%
36%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Vukovar '91
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
VUK
2 - 0
BIJ
70%
20%
11%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
RUD
0 - 1
VUK
29%
27%
44%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
VUK
2 - 0
ZMI
68%
20%
12%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
ORI
0 - 1
VUK
27%
27%
46%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
VUK
4 - 0
ZMI
66%
21%
13%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |