NK Jarun vs Hrvatski Dragovoljac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.3%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
14.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
3º
12º
5º
22
3º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Jarun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2023 |
KUS
1 - 2
NKJ
42%
26%
32%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
NKJ
2 - 1
ZMI
57%
22%
21%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
NKD
0 - 0
NKJ
46%
26%
28%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
NKJ
0 - 0
HNK
42%
25%
33%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
RUD
1 - 4
NKJ
49%
24%
27%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Hrvatski Dragovoljac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
HDR
1 - 1
DUB
31%
27%
43%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
ORI
2 - 0
HDR
58%
22%
20%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
HDR
0 - 1
VUK
34%
27%
39%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
RUD
3 - 0
HDR
76%
16%
8%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
HDR
0 - 4
KUS
30%
25%
46%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |