NK Jarun vs HNK Cibalia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
39.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
3º
12º
5º
54
1º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Jarun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2023 |
SOL
2 - 2
NKJ
53%
23%
24%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
NKJ
1 - 0
DUB
49%
24%
28%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
NKD
1 - 0
NKJ
42%
26%
32%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
NKJ
3 - 2
HDR
59%
21%
20%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
BIJ
1 - 2
NKJ
56%
24%
21%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
HNK Cibalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2023 |
HNK
1 - 1
RUD
32%
27%
41%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
VUK
1 - 1
HNK
46%
27%
28%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
HNK
3 - 2
ORI
46%
25%
29%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
HNK
3 - 1
SOL
52%
24%
24%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
DUB
2 - 0
HNK
34%
26%
40%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -2 |