NK Jarun vs Bijelo Brdo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
26.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+49%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
2º
10º
10º
46
6º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 9 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Jarun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
RUD
0 - 2
NKJ
59%
23%
18%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2025 |
NKJ
0 - 0
VUK
22%
26%
52%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2025 |
OPA
2 - 1
NKJ
66%
22%
12%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2025 |
NKJ
0 - 2
NKR
37%
26%
37%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
DUB
0 - 1
NKJ
49%
26%
26%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Bijelo Brdo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
ZMI
1 - 3
BIJ
43%
27%
31%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
BIJ
2 - 0
RUD
34%
27%
40%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
VUK
2 - 0
BIJ
70%
20%
11%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
BIJ
0 - 1
OPA
23%
26%
51%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2025 |
NKR
0 - 1
BIJ
68%
19%
13%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +1 |