Grobničan vs Jadran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.6%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
13.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
9º
16º
15º
12
9º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 36 |
9º
|
74% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
74% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
28 | 31 |
13º
|
44% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 30 |
14º
|
44% | |
|
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
15º
|
79.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
20.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
79.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grobničan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2025 |
DUG
4 - 1
NKG
43%
24%
33%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
NKG
1 - 0
TRN
48%
23%
29%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
SEG
4 - 0
NKG
44%
23%
34%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -2 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
NKG
1 - 2
KAR
32%
27%
41%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2025 |
MZL
0 - 0
NKG
67%
20%
13%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Jadran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2025 |
JAP
1 - 2
TRN
28%
24%
48%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2025 |
KAR
2 - 0
JAP
73%
18%
9%
|
37 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
JAP
0 - 1
BJE
16%
21%
63%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
HDR
0 - 1
JAP
60%
21%
19%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
JAP
1 - 2
ULJ
28%
25%
47%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -1 |